Cup — Russia
Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 17:30 • RZD Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.37) 0.52 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.5% 42.1% 24.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.5%
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv 0 30.5% 15.9% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 10.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotivSpartak Moscow
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack53%87%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%50%57%50%100%71%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%50%43%50%0%29%

Form: Lokomotiv: LWWWLWL • Spartak Moscow: WLWLWWW

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
GF total47119716
GF avg1.31.81.62.32.32.3
GA total178527
GA avg0.31.81.11.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotivSpartak Moscow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%100%71%
1.557%29%71%29%
2.514%14%43%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotivSpartak Moscow
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricLokomotivSpartak Moscow
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricLokomotivSpartak Moscow
Wins31
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-11-2—
Goals For2343
Goals Against1321

Model comparison

MetricLokomotivSpartak Moscow
Form43%57%
Att38%62%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h40%60%
Goals46%54%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Spartak Moscow

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ 1xBet
Draw3.74 @ 1xBet
Away2.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.16 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Pinnacle
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv = 0.67 (league 1.37), Spartak Moscow = 0.52 (league 1.32)

Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv 0 30.5% 15.9% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 10.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 42.1% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1