EFL Trophy — England
Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:00 • Alexandra Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.47 (league 2.09) 0.31 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.7% 0.5% 0.1%
best score tips
5 - 0
10.7%
4 - 0
8.3%
3 - 0
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
Stockport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.7% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCreweStockport County
Played33
Form100%67%
Attack57%38%
Defense90%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 48 | 2.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.77 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

67%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crewe Stockport County
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins100%100%100%100%0%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%33%

Form: Crewe: WWW • Stockport County: WLW

League goals

Metric Crewe Stockport County
HATHAT
GF total9312718
GF avg4.53.04.03.51.02.7
GA total112437
GA avg0.51.00.72.03.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCreweStockport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%100%
1.5100%0%67%67%
2.567%0%33%67%
3.533%0%33%0%
4.533%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCreweStockport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCreweStockport County
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCreweStockport County
Wins31
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-11-35-3—
Biggest losses———3-1
Goals For7351
Goals Against1133

Model comparison

MetricCreweStockport County
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Crewe and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crewe = 6.47 (league 2.09), Stockport County = 0.31 (league 1.59)

Stockport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.7% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.7% · Draw 0.5% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1