EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 19:00 • Eco-Power Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
8.39 (league 2.09) 0.63 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 0.2% 0.1%
best score tips
5 - 0
4.2%
5 - 1
2.6%
4 - 0
2.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Doncaster 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDoncasterChesterfield
Played33
Form100%33%
Attack50%25%
Defense88%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.710 | 3.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

93%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Doncaster Chesterfield
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins100%100%100%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%50%100%67%

Form: Doncaster: WWW • Chesterfield: LWL

League goals

Metric Doncaster Chesterfield
HATHAT
GF total538314
GF avg2.53.02.71.51.01.3
GA total2023710
GA avg1.00.00.71.57.03.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDoncasterChesterfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%67%
1.5100%0%33%67%
2.567%0%0%67%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDoncasterChesterfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricDoncasterChesterfield
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDoncasterChesterfield
Wins31
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-31-0—
Biggest losses——2-37-1
Goals For3321
Goals Against1037

Model comparison

MetricDoncasterChesterfield
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total66.2%33.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Doncaster and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away4.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Doncaster = 8.39 (league 2.09), Chesterfield = 0.63 (league 1.59)

Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Doncaster 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 0.2% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1