EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 19:00 • Kenilworth Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 2.09) 0.63 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.8% 17.6% 9.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 6.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 8.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonExeter City
Played33
Form67%67%
Attack50%31%
Defense69%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.75 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.74 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Exeter City
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins100%0%67%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%33%50%0%33%

Form: Luton: WLW • Exeter City: LWW

League goals

Metric Luton Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total718415
GF avg3.51.02.72.01.01.7
GA total235404
GA avg1.03.01.72.00.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%67%67%
1.567%33%33%33%
2.567%33%33%33%
3.533%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricLutonExeter City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricLutonExeter City
Wins10
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—4-30-1
Biggest losses—3-10-1—
Goals For4141
Goals Against1330

Model comparison

MetricLutonExeter City
Form50%50%
Att62%38%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Luton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Unibet
Draw4.34 @ Pinnacle
Away6.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Luton = 2.18 (league 2.09), Exeter City = 0.63 (league 1.59)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 6.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 8.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.8% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1