EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 19:00 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.36 (league 2.09) 1.57 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.5% 13.7% 13.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 1
6.4%
4 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Barnsley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 4.1% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 2.6% 4.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValeBarnsley
Played33
Form67%33%
Attack56%38%
Defense69%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.76 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Barnsley
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%100%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%33%50%100%67%

Form: Port Vale: WWL • Barnsley: LWL

League goals

Metric Port Vale Barnsley
HATHAT
GF total729516
GF avg3.52.03.02.51.02.0
GA total505426
GA avg2.50.01.72.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValeBarnsley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%100%
1.5100%33%33%100%
2.567%33%33%0%
3.533%33%33%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValeBarnsley
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricPort ValeBarnsley
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPort ValeBarnsley
Wins21
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-25-2—
Biggest losses3-4—0-22-1
Goals For4251
Goals Against4022

Model comparison

MetricPort ValeBarnsley
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Port Vale and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Betfair
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away2.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.32 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 188Bet
No2.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 3.36 (league 2.09), Barnsley = 1.57 (league 1.59)

Barnsley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 4.1% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 2.6% 4.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 13.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1