EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 19:00 • Lamex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 2.09) 2.82 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 17.0% 54.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.4%
1 - 3
7.0%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Walsall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 1.1% 3.1% 4.4% 4.2% 2.9% 1.7%
1 1.9% 5.3% 7.4% 7.0% 4.9% 2.8%
2 1.6% 4.4% 6.2% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3%
3 0.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.3% 2.3% 1.3%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStevenageWalsall
Played33
Form100%67%
Attack75%25%
Defense75%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 44 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stevenage Walsall
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins100%100%100%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%

Form: Stevenage: WWW • Walsall: WLW

League goals

Metric Stevenage Walsall
HATHAT
GF total7512134
GF avg3.55.04.00.53.01.3
GA total314112
GA avg1.51.01.30.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStevenageWalsall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%67%67%
1.5100%33%33%0%
2.567%0%33%0%
3.567%0%0%0%
4.567%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStevenageWalsall
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricStevenageWalsall
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricStevenageWalsall
Wins31
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-51-01-3
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For5513
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricStevenageWalsall
Form60%40%
Att75%25%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h62%38%
Goals62%38%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stevenage or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Pinnacle
Away3.15 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stevenage = 1.68 (league 2.09), Walsall = 2.82 (league 1.59)

Walsall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 1.1% 3.1% 4.4% 4.2% 2.9% 1.7%
1 1.9% 5.3% 7.4% 7.0% 4.9% 2.8%
2 1.6% 4.4% 6.2% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3%
3 0.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.3% 2.3% 1.3%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 54.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1