EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 19:30 • County Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 2.09) 3.14 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.0% 13.3% 65.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
8.1%
1 - 2
7.7%
0 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Peterborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 1.3% 4.1% 6.4% 6.7% 5.3% 3.3%
1 1.6% 4.9% 7.7% 8.1% 6.3% 4.0%
2 0.9% 3.0% 4.6% 4.8% 3.8% 2.4%
3 0.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwindon TownPeterborough
Played33
Form67%67%
Attack41%32%
Defense77%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 37 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.76 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

94%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swindon Town Peterborough
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%100%67%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%33%50%0%33%

Form: Swindon Town: WLW • Peterborough: LWW

League goals

Metric Swindon Town Peterborough
HATHAT
GF total549527
GF avg2.54.03.02.52.02.3
GA total505516
GA avg2.50.01.72.51.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwindon TownPeterborough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%100%
1.5100%67%67%67%
2.567%33%33%33%
3.533%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwindon TownPeterborough
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSwindon TownPeterborough
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSwindon TownPeterborough
Wins10
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-44-21-2
Biggest losses2-3—1-3—
Goals For3442
Goals Against3031

Model comparison

MetricSwindon TownPeterborough
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h7%93%
Goals18%82%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Peterborough and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 1.20 (league 2.09), Peterborough = 3.14 (league 1.59)

Peterborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 1.3% 4.1% 6.4% 6.7% 5.3% 3.3%
1 1.6% 4.9% 7.7% 8.1% 6.3% 4.0%
2 0.9% 3.0% 4.6% 4.8% 3.8% 2.4%
3 0.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 65.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1