Cup — Russia
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 17:45 • VEB Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.39) 3.74 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 12.1% 57.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.5%
1 - 4
6.1%
2 - 3
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Krasnodar
0 1 2 3 4 5
CSKA Moscow 0 0.5% 1.7% 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 2.8%
1 0.7% 2.8% 5.2% 6.5% 6.1% 4.6%
2 0.6% 2.3% 4.3% 5.4% 5.1% 3.8%
3 0.3% 1.3% 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 2.1%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCSKA MoscowFC Krasnodar
Played55
Form60%100%
Attack89%100%
Defense33%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CSKA Moscow FC Krasnodar
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%75%100%88%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses25%50%38%25%0%13%

Form: CSKA Moscow: WLWLWWLW • FC Krasnodar: LWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric CSKA Moscow FC Krasnodar
HATHAT
GF total941391322
GF avg2.31.01.62.33.32.8
GA total639246
GA avg1.50.81.10.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCSKA MoscowFC Krasnodar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%100%50%
1.550%38%75%25%
2.525%0%63%0%
3.50%0%38%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCSKA MoscowFC Krasnodar
HATHAT
Clean sheets022314
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricCSKA MoscowFC Krasnodar
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCSKA MoscowFC Krasnodar
Wins20
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-00-4
Biggest losses1-22-11-2—
Goals For3244
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricCSKA MoscowFC Krasnodar
Form38%63%
Att38%62%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total43.3%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Krasnodar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.79 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away2.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CSKA Moscow = 1.66 (league 1.39), FC Krasnodar = 3.74 (league 1.32)

FC Krasnodar
0 1 2 3 4 5
CSKA Moscow 0 0.5% 1.7% 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 2.8%
1 0.7% 2.8% 5.2% 6.5% 6.1% 4.6%
2 0.6% 2.3% 4.3% 5.4% 5.1% 3.8%
3 0.3% 1.3% 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 2.1%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 57.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1