Cup — Russia
Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 17:45 • VTB Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.39) 3.40 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.4% 12.2% 64.2%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 2
6.8%
1 - 4
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dynamo 0 0.9% 3.1% 5.3% 6.0% 5.1% 3.5%
1 1.2% 4.0% 6.8% 7.7% 6.6% 4.5%
2 0.8% 2.6% 4.4% 5.0% 4.3% 2.9%
3 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 1.3%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDynamoSpartak Moscow
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack92%100%
Defense75%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dynamo Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%50%50%50%100%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%50%0%25%

Form: Dynamo: WLLWLWWL • Spartak Moscow: WLWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Dynamo Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
GF total771491019
GF avg1.81.81.82.32.52.4
GA total7310549
GA avg1.80.81.31.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDynamoSpartak Moscow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%100%75%
1.550%25%75%38%
2.550%13%50%0%
3.525%13%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDynamoSpartak Moscow
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score224000

Penalties

MetricDynamoSpartak Moscow
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricDynamoSpartak Moscow
Wins21
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-01-3
Biggest losses0-41-01-2—
Goals For4443
Goals Against4122

Model comparison

MetricDynamoSpartak Moscow
Form43%57%
Att48%52%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Spartak Moscow

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.12 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.07 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dynamo = 1.30 (league 1.39), Spartak Moscow = 3.40 (league 1.32)

Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dynamo 0 0.9% 3.1% 5.3% 6.0% 5.1% 3.5%
1 1.2% 4.0% 6.8% 7.7% 6.6% 4.5%
2 0.8% 2.6% 4.4% 5.0% 4.3% 2.9%
3 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 1.3%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.4% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 64.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1