Cup — Russia
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 17:00 • Rostec Arena
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.39) 2.26 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.2% 18.6% 64.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.4%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Zenit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baltika 0 4.1% 9.2% 10.4% 7.9% 4.4% 2.0%
1 3.8% 8.7% 9.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.8% 4.1% 4.6% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaltikaZenit
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack47%65%
Defense71%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baltika Zenit
HATHAT
Played347448
Wins33%50%43%75%100%88%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses67%50%57%25%0%13%

Form: Baltika: LLLWWLW • Zenit: WWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Baltika Zenit
HATHAT
GF total45912921
GF avg1.31.31.33.02.32.6
GA total459448
GA avg1.31.31.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaltikaZenit
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%100%50%
1.543%57%63%25%
2.514%0%38%25%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaltikaZenit
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricBaltikaZenit
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricBaltikaZenit
Wins26
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-26-03-5
Biggest losses0-22-01-3—
Goals For3265
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricBaltikaZenit
Form43%57%
Att42%58%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h7%93%
Goals14%86%
Total30.0%70.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Zenit

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ 188Bet
Draw3.38 @ 1xBet
Away2.26 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baltika = 0.94 (league 1.39), Zenit = 2.26 (league 1.32)

Zenit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baltika 0 4.1% 9.2% 10.4% 7.9% 4.4% 2.0%
1 3.8% 8.7% 9.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.8% 4.1% 4.6% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.2% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 64.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1