Cup — Russia
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 15:30 • Samara Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.33 (league 1.39) 0.39 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.2% 3.1% 0.9%
best score tips
4 - 0
13.1%
3 - 0
12.1%
5 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Krylia Sovetov 0 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.4% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack57%21%
Defense29%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Krylia Sovetov FC Orenburg
HATHAT
Played347448
Wins67%50%57%50%25%38%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%50%43%50%75%63%

Form: Krylia Sovetov: WLWLWLW • FC Orenburg: LWLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Krylia Sovetov FC Orenburg
HATHAT
GF total6511718
GF avg2.01.31.61.80.31.0
GA total581391221
GA avg1.72.01.92.33.02.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%63%75%
1.543%57%25%63%
2.514%29%13%50%
3.514%14%0%38%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011033

Penalties

MetricKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
Wins12
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-31-22-10-1
Biggest losses1-24-03-56-0
Goals For4231
Goals Against3456

Model comparison

MetricKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
Form60%40%
Att73%27%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total64.5%35.5%

Advice: Winner : Krylia Sovetov

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ 1xBet
Draw3.54 @ Pinnacle
Away2.89 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ SBO
Under 2.52.01 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Krylia Sovetov = 4.33 (league 1.39), FC Orenburg = 0.39 (league 1.32)

FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Krylia Sovetov 0 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.4% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.2% · Draw 3.1% · Away win 0.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1