Cup — Russia
Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 15:30 • Stadion Arsenal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.39) 0.68 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.2% 29.0% 19.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 13.8% 9.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.2% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal TulaLokomotiv
Played45
Form100%40%
Attack80%80%
Defense80%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.59 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Tula Lokomotiv
HATHAT
Played224448
Wins100%100%100%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%50%50%50%

Form: Arsenal Tula: WWWW • Lokomotiv: LWWWLWLL

League goals

Metric Arsenal Tula Lokomotiv
HATHAT
GF total2686713
GF avg1.03.02.01.51.81.6
GA total0224711
GA avg0.01.00.51.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal TulaLokomotiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%88%75%
1.550%25%63%38%
2.550%0%13%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal TulaLokomotiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricArsenal TulaLokomotiv
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricArsenal TulaLokomotiv
Wins43
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-01-3
Biggest losses——2-33-1
Goals For1323
Goals Against0233

Model comparison

MetricArsenal TulaLokomotiv
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total50.4%49.6%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal Tula or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.46 @ 1xBet
Draw4.72 @ 1xBet
Away1.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.16 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal Tula = 1.30 (league 1.39), Lokomotiv = 0.68 (league 1.32)

Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 13.8% 9.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.2% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.2% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 19.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1