Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 09:00 •
Chernihiv Stadium
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.10)
1.52 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.9% | 22.6% | 31.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Yarud Mariupol' | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernihiv | 0 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 19% | 38% |
| Defense | 94% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | — | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
Form: Chernihiv: WW • Yarud Mariupol': WWW
League goals
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Yarud Mariupol'
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chernihiv = 1.82 (league 1.10), Yarud Mariupol' = 1.52 (league 1.32)
| Yarud Mariupol' | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernihiv | 0 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 31.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1