EFL Trophy — England
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 19:00 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 2.12) 0.47 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 33.3% 15.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 0
21.1%
2 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Walsall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 21.1% 9.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 10.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.5% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonWalsall
Played44
Form100%75%
Attack40%30%
Defense95%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 26 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.33 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Walsall
HATHAT
Played314224
Wins100%100%100%50%100%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%25%

Form: Northampton: WWWW • Walsall: WLWW

League goals

Metric Northampton Walsall
HATHAT
GF total718156
GF avg2.31.02.00.52.51.5
GA total101123
GA avg0.30.00.30.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonWalsall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%75%75%
1.575%0%50%0%
2.525%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonWalsall
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonWalsall
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonWalsall
Wins41
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-11-01-3
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For3113
Goals Against1011

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonWalsall
Form57%43%
Att57%43%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : Northampton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.35 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ SBO
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 1.09 (league 2.12), Walsall = 0.47 (league 1.60)

Walsall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 21.1% 9.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 10.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.5% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 15.8%

vtt 3 , vtd1