Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 23:30 •
BMO Field
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.27)
1.66 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.4% | 16.9% | 20.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.4%
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Philadelphia Union | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toronto FC | 0 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Toronto FC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 45% | 23% |
| Defense | 64% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Toronto FC | Philadelphia Union | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 40% | 33% | 38% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 38% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 25% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
Toronto FCLLWDWWDD
Philadelphia UnionLLLLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Toronto FC | Philadelphia Union | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Toronto FC | Philadelphia Union | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 88% | 63% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 13% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 38% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Toronto FC | Philadelphia Union | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Toronto FC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Toronto FC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-1 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Toronto FC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 60.7% | 39.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away2.75 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…