Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 23:00 •
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 0.99)
1.64 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.2% | 24.6% | 51.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Boca Juniors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Defensa Y Justicia | 0 | 7.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Defensa Y Justicia | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 75% | 50% |
| Defense | 25% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Defensa Y Justicia | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Wins | 14% | 43% | 29% | 38% | 40% | 38% |
| Draws | 71% | 29% | 50% | 63% | 20% | 46% |
| Loses | 14% | 29% | 21% | 0% | 40% | 15% |
Form: Defensa Y Justicia: DWDWDDDDDWWLLL • Boca Juniors: WLWLDDDWDDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Defensa Y Justicia | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Defensa Y Justicia | Boca Juniors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 64% | 85% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 36% | 23% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 7% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Defensa Y Justicia | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Defensa Y Justicia | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Defensa Y Justicia | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Defensa Y Justicia | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Boca Juniors
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Defensa Y Justicia
vs
Boca Juniors
Expected goals
1.01
Defensa Y Justicia xG
League Avg: 0.99
Total
2.64
1.64
Boca Juniors xG
League Avg: 0.77
1x2 probabilities
Home
23.2%
Draw
24.6%
Away
51.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.7%
Tip
0 - 1
11.6%
Tip
1 - 2
9.6%
More chances
1.5+
60%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Defensa Y Justicia = 1.01 (league 0.99), Boca Juniors = 1.64 (league 0.77)
| Boca Juniors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Defensa Y Justicia | 0 | 7.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.2% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 51.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1