Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 00:30 •
Estádio do Maracanã
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.32)
1.57 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.0% | 25.3% | 56.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
0 - 2
12.0%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Fluminense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasco DA Gama | 0 | 9.8% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 70% | 80% |
| Defense | 20% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Vasco DA Gama: LDLLWD • Fluminense: WDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Fluminense
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.35 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Vasco DA Gama
vs
Fluminense
Expected goals
0.76
Vasco DA Gama xG
League Avg: 1.32
Total
2.33
1.57
Fluminense xG
League Avg: 0.83
1x2 probabilities
Home
18.0%
Draw
25.3%
Away
56.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
15.3%
Tip
0 - 2
12.0%
Tip
1 - 1
11.6%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Vasco DA Gama = 0.76 (league 1.32), Fluminense = 1.57 (league 0.83)
| Fluminense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasco DA Gama | 0 | 9.8% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 56.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1