Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 03:00 •
Estadio Victoria
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.54)
1.46 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 25.5% | 41.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Guadalajara Chivas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Necaxa | 0 | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Necaxa | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 39% | 89% |
| Defense | 72% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Necaxa | Guadalajara Chivas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 38% | 19% | 28% | 65% | 53% | 59% |
| Draws | 25% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 6% | 12% |
| Loses | 38% | 63% | 50% | 18% | 41% | 29% |
Form: Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLLDWWDWLLLWWLLLLDWWLD • Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDLWWWWLWWWDLWWWWWWLLWWWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Necaxa | Guadalajara Chivas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 21 | 42 | 39 | 25 | 64 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 17 | 36 | 53 | 17 | 25 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Necaxa | Guadalajara Chivas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 91% | 79% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 28% | 29% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 3% | 15% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Necaxa | Guadalajara Chivas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Necaxa | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Necaxa | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Necaxa | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 41% | 59% |
| Total | 44.0% | 56.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara Chivas
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.80 @ Unibet
Draw4.10 @ Pinnacle
Away1.74 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ BetVictor
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Necaxa
vs
Guadalajara Chivas
Expected goals
1.27
Necaxa xG
League Avg: 1.54
Total
2.73
1.46
Guadalajara Chivas xG
League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
32.6%
Draw
25.5%
Away
41.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.1%
Tip
0 - 1
9.5%
Tip
1 - 2
8.8%
More chances
1.5+
82%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Necaxa = 1.27 (league 1.54), Guadalajara Chivas = 1.46 (league 1.13)
| Guadalajara Chivas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Necaxa | 0 | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.6% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 41.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1