Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:45 •
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.34)
2.03 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.8% | 21.4% | 48.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Shelbourne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derry City | 0 | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derry City | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 57% | 57% |
| Defense | 50% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derry City | Shelbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Loses | 25% | 100% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Derry CityWDLWL
ShelbourneDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Derry City | Shelbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derry City | Shelbourne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derry City | Shelbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derry City | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derry City | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 2-3 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derry City | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Derry City
vs
Shelbourne
Expected goals
1.49
Derry City xG
League Avg: 1.34
Total
3.52
2.03
Shelbourne xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
27.8%
Draw
21.4%
Away
48.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.1%
Tip
1 - 1
8.9%
Tip
2 - 2
6.8%
More chances
1.5+
87%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
86%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Derry City = 1.49 (league 1.34), Shelbourne = 2.03 (league 1.11)
| Shelbourne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derry City | 0 | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.8% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 48.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1