Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 03:06 •
Cancha El Barrial
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.65)
1.22 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.0% | 28.2% | 38.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tigres UANL W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monterrey W | 0 | 9.8% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Monterrey W | Tigres UANL W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 67% |
| Attack | 44% | 67% |
| Defense | 94% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Monterrey W | Tigres UANL W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 71% | 56% | 63% | 70% | 63% | 67% |
| Draws | 18% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 37% | 26% |
| Loses | 12% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 0% | 8% |
Form: Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWWDLWWWWDWWWDWWWDWWD • Tigres UANL W: DWWWWWLWWWWDWWWWDWDDWDWWDWWDWLWDWWWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Monterrey W | Tigres UANL W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 44 | 34 | 78 | 63 | 43 | 106 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 12 | 23 | 35 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Monterrey W | Tigres UANL W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 54% | 87% | 51% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 20% | 74% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 11% | 44% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 11% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 3% | 15% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Monterrey W | Tigres UANL W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Monterrey W | Tigres UANL W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Monterrey W | Tigres UANL W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-5 | 9-0 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 2-3 | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Monterrey W | Tigres UANL W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 32% | 68% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tigres UANL W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.86 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away2.35 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.11 @ Marathonbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Monterrey W = 1.10 (league 1.65), Tigres UANL W = 1.22 (league 1.32)
| Tigres UANL W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monterrey W | 0 | 9.8% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 38.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
