Rodopa Smolyan vs Nesebar

Third League - Southeast — Bulgaria

Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 • Stadion Septemvri

Match Finished

Rodopa Smolyan

1 - 3

Nesebar

Expected Goals

0.73 (league 1.85) 1.84 (league 1.13)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
14.3%	21.9%	62.6%

best score tips

0 - 1

14.0%

0 - 2

12.9%

1 - 1

10.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Nesebar
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Rodopa Smolyan	0	7.6%	14.0%	12.9%	7.9%	3.6%	1.3%
	1	5.6%	10.3%	9.5%	5.8%	2.7%	1.0%
	2	2.1%	3.8%	3.5%	2.1%	1.0%	0.4%
	3	0.5%	0.9%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
	4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Rodopa Smolyan	Nesebar
Played	5	5
Form	47%	73%
Attack	57%	86%
Defense	64%	86%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	12 \| 2.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	2 \| 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%

FT probability

2.5+

60%

FT probability

3.5+

43%

FT probability

BTTS

69%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Rodopa Smolyan			Nesebar
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	14	26	13	12	25
Wins	50%	21%	35%	92%	58%	76%
Draws	17%	14%	15%	8%	25%	16%
Loses	33%	64%	50%	0%	17%	8%

Form: Rodopa Smolyan: WLLDLWWWLLLDWLWLWLDLLDLWWL • Nesebar: LWWWWWWWWWWWLWWDWWWDWDWWD

League goals

Metric	Rodopa Smolyan			Nesebar
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	20	14	34	50	19	69
GF avg	1.7	1.0	1.3	3.8	1.6	2.8
GA total	16	34	50	4	9	13
GA avg	1.3	2.4	1.9	0.3	0.8	0.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Rodopa Smolyan		Nesebar
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	69%	85%	84%	44%
1.5	42%	50%	72%	8%
2.5	15%	27%	48%	0%
3.5	4%	15%	28%	0%
4.5	0%	4%	16%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Rodopa Smolyan			Nesebar
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	1	4	10	4	14
Failed to score	3	5	8	1	3	4

Penalties

Metric	Rodopa Smolyan	Nesebar
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Rodopa Smolyan	Nesebar
Wins	3	11
Draws	1	1
Losses	3	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-2	9-0	0-4
Biggest losses	1-4	8-0	—	2-1
Goals For	4	2	9	4
Goals Against	4	8	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Rodopa Smolyan	Nesebar
Form	39%	61%
Att	40%	60%
Def	29%	71%
Poisson Distribution	27%	73%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	15%	85%
Total	30.0%	70.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nesebar

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Rodopa Smolyan vs Nesebar

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Rodopa Smolyan

Nesebar

Third League - Southeast • Bulgaria • Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 • Stadion Septemvri

Expected goals

0.73

Rodopa Smolyan xG League Avg: 1.85

Total

2.58

1.84

Nesebar xG League Avg: 1.13

1x2 probabilities

Home

14.3%

Draw

21.9%

Away

62.6%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 1

14.0%

Tip

0 - 2

12.9%

Tip

1 - 1

10.3%

More chances

1.5+

85%

Chance

2.5+

60%

Chance

3.5+

43%

Chance

BTTS

69%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#RodopaSmolyan #Nesebar #ThirdLeagueSoutheast #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Rodopa Smolyan = 0.73 (league 1.85), Nesebar = 1.84 (league 1.13)

		Nesebar
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Rodopa Smolyan	0	7.6%	14.0%	12.9%	7.9%	3.6%	1.3%
	1	5.6%	10.3%	9.5%	5.8%	2.7%	1.0%
	2	2.1%	3.8%	3.5%	2.1%	1.0%	0.4%
	3	0.5%	0.9%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
	4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 62.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Rodopa Smolyan	Nesebar
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0