Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 2.03)
1.56 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.6% | 24.1% | 39.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Levanger | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hønefoss | 0 | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Hønefoss carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 71 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hønefoss +19.0, Levanger +14.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Hønefoss
vs
Levanger
Elo gapHønefoss +71
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo3097.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3097.9
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Hønefoss | Levanger |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1566.8 | 1531.1 |
| Form Elo | 1602 | 1552.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1547.8 | 1526.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1724.8 | 1708.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1421.6 | 1399.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +19.0 | +14.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Hønefoss last-5 Elo change: +19.0; Levanger last-5 Elo change: +14.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hønefoss | Levanger |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 67% |
| Attack | 37% | 32% |
| Defense | 84% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hønefoss | Levanger | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 33% |
HønefossDWW
LevangerWLW
League goals
| Metric | Hønefoss | Levanger | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hønefoss | Levanger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 33% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hønefoss | Levanger | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hønefoss | Levanger |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hønefoss | Levanger |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hønefoss | Levanger |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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