Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 33.1% | 54.7% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Alta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kongsvinger II | 0 | 22.8% | 25.4% | 14.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Home strong edge
Kongsvinger II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 112 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kongsvinger II +25.6, Alta +1.4.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Kongsvinger II | Alta |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1507.9 | 1431.3 |
| Form Elo | 1541.9 | 1435.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1519 | 1467.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1608.2 | 1652.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1352.9 | 1310.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +25.6 | +1.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Kongsvinger II last-5 Elo change: +25.6; Alta last-5 Elo change: +1.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kongsvinger II | Alta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 78% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 93% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Kongsvinger II | Alta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
League goals
| Metric | Kongsvinger II | Alta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kongsvinger II | Alta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kongsvinger II | Alta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kongsvinger II | Alta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kongsvinger II | Alta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kongsvinger II | Alta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Kongsvinger II = 0.36 (league 2.47), Alta = 1.11 (league 1.79)
| Alta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kongsvinger II | 0 | 22.8% | 25.4% | 14.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 54.8%
