Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 20:00 •
Genacio Salice Stadium
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.08)
2.28 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.4% | 19.8% | 54.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.1%
1 - 3
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sportivo Italiano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villa San Carlos | 0 | 2.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villa San Carlos | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 78% |
| Attack | 46% | 31% |
| Defense | 62% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villa San Carlos | Sportivo Italiano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Villa San Carlos: LWD • Sportivo Italiano: DWW
League goals
| Metric | Villa San Carlos | Sportivo Italiano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villa San Carlos | Sportivo Italiano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villa San Carlos | Sportivo Italiano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villa San Carlos | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villa San Carlos | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villa San Carlos | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 42.2% | 57.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sportivo Italiano
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.20 @ Unibet
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.41 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.61 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Villa San Carlos
vs
Sportivo Italiano
Expected goals
1.39
Villa San Carlos xG
League Avg: 1.08
Total
3.68
2.28
Sportivo Italiano xG
League Avg: 0.88
1x2 probabilities
Home
22.4%
Draw
19.8%
Away
54.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.2%
Tip
1 - 1
8.1%
Tip
1 - 3
7.0%
More chances
1.5+
80%
Chance
2.5+
56%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Villa San Carlos = 1.39 (league 1.08), Sportivo Italiano = 2.28 (league 0.88)
| Sportivo Italiano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villa San Carlos | 0 | 2.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.4% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 54.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1