Elitettan — Sweden
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Alingsås W

—

Göteborg

Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.69) 3.91 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.5% 4.7% 73.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
12.8%
0 - 4
12.5%
0 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Göteborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alingsås W 0 1.3% 5.0% 9.8% 12.8% 12.5% 9.8%
1 0.6% 2.2% 4.4% 5.7% 5.6% 4.3%
2 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Göteborg carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 136 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Alingsås W -14.9, Göteborg -1.9.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Alingsås W Elo 1326.9 · -14.9
vs
Göteborg Elo 1498.1 · -1.9
Elo gapGöteborg +136
Home / draw / away25% / 18% / 57%
Expected home share31%
Combined Elo2825
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2825
Elo home share 31%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Alingsås W Göteborg
Overall Elo1326.91498.1
Form Elo1291.51505.2
Home / Away Elo1429.91508.5
Attack Elo1382.21506.6
Defense Elo1106.41497.9
Last 5 Elo change-14.9-1.9

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Alingsås W last-5 Elo change: -14.9; Göteborg last-5 Elo change: -1.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlingsås WGöteborg
Played22
Form0%50%
Attack7%29%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.54 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 2.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alingsås W Göteborg
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%100%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%100%0%50%
Alingsås WLL
GöteborgLW

League goals

Metric Alingsås W Göteborg
HATHAT
GF total011224
GF avg0.01.00.52.02.02.0
GA total325303
GA avg3.02.02.53.00.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlingsås WGöteborg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%50%
1.50%100%100%50%
2.50%50%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlingsås WGöteborg
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAlingsås WGöteborg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlingsås WGöteborg
Wins00
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———0-2
Biggest losses0-32-12-3—
Goals For0122
Goals Against3230

Model comparison

MetricAlingsås WGöteborg
Form0%100%
Att20%80%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total29.0%71.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Alingsås W vs Göteborg
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Alingsås W
vs
Göteborg
Elitettan • Sweden • Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
0.44
Alingsås W xG League Avg: 1.69
Total
4.35
3.91
Göteborg xG League Avg: 1.54
1x2 probabilities
Home
1.5%
Draw
4.7%
Away
73.8%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 3
12.8%
Tip
0 - 4
12.5%
Tip
0 - 2
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
82%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 2
Exp.
#AlingsåsW #Göteborg #Elitettan #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Alingsås W = 0.44 (league 1.69), Göteborg = 3.91 (league 1.54)

Göteborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alingsås W 0 1.3% 5.0% 9.8% 12.8% 12.5% 9.8%
1 0.6% 2.2% 4.4% 5.7% 5.6% 4.3%
2 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.5% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 73.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1