Elitettan — Sweden
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 • Umea Energi Arena
Not Started

Umeå

—

Häcken II

Expected Goals
3.55 (league 1.69) 1.30 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 11.4% 9.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.6%
4 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Häcken II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Umeå 0 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.9% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.2% 6.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Umeå carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 212 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Umeå +12.2, Häcken II -21.3.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Umeå Elo 1579.9 · +12.2
vs
Häcken II Elo 1403 · -21.3
Elo gapUmeå +212
Home / draw / away63% / 18% / 19%
Expected home share77%
Combined Elo2982.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2982.9
Elo home share 77%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Umeå Häcken II
Overall Elo1579.91403
Form Elo1600.81353.9
Home / Away Elo1537.31473.1
Attack Elo1645.91425.8
Defense Elo1570.61356.3
Last 5 Elo change+12.2-21.3

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Umeå last-5 Elo change: +12.2; Häcken II last-5 Elo change: -21.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUmeåHäcken II
Played22
Form67%0%
Attack43%14%
Defense86%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 32 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 17 | 3.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Umeå Häcken II
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%100%50%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%100%100%
UmeåWD
Häcken IILL

League goals

Metric Umeå Häcken II
HATHAT
GF total246202
GF avg2.04.03.02.00.01.0
GA total202437
GA avg2.00.01.04.03.03.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUmeåHäcken II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%100%
1.5100%50%50%100%
2.550%0%0%100%
3.550%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUmeåHäcken II
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricUmeåHäcken II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUmeåHäcken II
Wins10
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-4——
Biggest losses——2-43-0
Goals For2420
Goals Against2043

Model comparison

MetricUmeåHäcken II
Form100%0%
Att75%25%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals65%35%
Total74.5%25.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Umeå vs Häcken II
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Umeå
vs
Häcken II
Elitettan • Sweden • Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 • Umea Energi Arena
Expected goals
3.55
Umeå xG League Avg: 1.69
Total
4.86
1.30
Häcken II xG League Avg: 1.54
1x2 probabilities
Home
64.0%
Draw
11.4%
Away
9.5%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 1
7.6%
Tip
4 - 1
6.7%
Tip
2 - 1
6.4%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
78%
Chance
3.5+
55%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
#Umeå #HäckenIi #Elitettan #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Umeå = 3.55 (league 1.69), Häcken II = 1.30 (league 1.54)

Häcken II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Umeå 0 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.9% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.2% 6.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 9.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1