Ettan - Södra
— Sweden
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Kopparvallen
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.66)
0.37 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.1% | 38.2% | 14.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
28.0%
1 - 0
25.2%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Malmo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atvidabergs FF | 0 | 28.0% | 10.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.2% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Atvidabergs FF carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 184 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Atvidabergs FF +0.1, AFC Malmo -1.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Atvidabergs FF
vs
AFC Malmo
Elo gapAtvidabergs FF +184
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share74%
Combined Elo3146.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3146.9
Elo home share
74%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Atvidabergs FF | AFC Malmo |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1648 | 1498.9 |
| Form Elo | 1648.7 | 1493.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1571.6 | 1499.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1726.3 | 1496.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1633.3 | 1502.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +0.1 | -1.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Atvidabergs FF last-5 Elo change: +0.1; AFC Malmo last-5 Elo change: -1.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atvidabergs FF | AFC Malmo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 27% | 36% |
| Defense | 73% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atvidabergs FF | AFC Malmo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Atvidabergs FFWLW
AFC MalmoDDD
League goals
| Metric | Atvidabergs FF | AFC Malmo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atvidabergs FF | AFC Malmo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atvidabergs FF | AFC Malmo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atvidabergs FF | AFC Malmo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atvidabergs FF | AFC Malmo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atvidabergs FF | AFC Malmo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Atvidabergs FF
vs
AFC Malmo
Expected goals
0.90
Atvidabergs FF xG
League Avg: 1.66
Total
1.27
0.37
AFC Malmo xG
League Avg: 1.34
1x2 probabilities
Home
47.1%
Draw
38.2%
Away
14.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
28.0%
Tip
1 - 0
25.2%
Tip
2 - 0
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
61%
Chance
2.5+
43%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Atvidabergs FF = 0.90 (league 1.66), AFC Malmo = 0.37 (league 1.34)
| AFC Malmo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atvidabergs FF | 0 | 28.0% | 10.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.2% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 14.7%
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