Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 00:00 •
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.12)
4.25 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.6% | 9.0% | 57.4% |
best score tips
1 - 4
6.5%
1 - 3
6.1%
1 - 5
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Fe | 0 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 29% | 76% |
| Defense | 65% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 80% |
| Draws | 67% | 40% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 20% |
Form: Santa Fe: DDDWDLLW • Atletico Nacional: WWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 88% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 80% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 60% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 35.2% | 64.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away2.40 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.77 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Santa Fe
vs
Atletico Nacional
Expected goals
1.51
Santa Fe xG
League Avg: 1.12
Total
5.77
4.25
Atletico Nacional xG
League Avg: 0.79
1x2 probabilities
Home
7.6%
Draw
9.0%
Away
57.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 4
6.5%
Tip
1 - 3
6.1%
Tip
1 - 5
5.5%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Santa Fe = 1.51 (league 1.13), Atletico Nacional = 4.24 (league 0.80)
| Atletico Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Fe | 0 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 9.1% · Away win 57.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1