Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 16:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.23) 0.97 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 31.6% 34.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.6%
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Malkiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahli 0 14.8% 14.3% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.5% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.6% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl AhliMalkiya
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack23%15%
Defense77%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Ahli Malkiya
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%25%31%25%50%38%
Draws0%50%25%38%25%31%
Loses63%25%44%38%25%31%

Form: Al Ahli: LLDWWDWLLDLLWLWD • Malkiya: DWDWWDWLWLDDWLLL

League goals

Metric Al Ahli Malkiya
HATHAT
GF total1010206915
GF avg1.31.31.30.81.10.9
GA total912216713
GA avg1.11.51.30.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl AhliMalkiya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%63%63%
1.531%44%25%19%
2.519%19%6%0%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl AhliMalkiya
HATHAT
Clean sheets325336
Failed to score235426

Penalties

MetricAl AhliMalkiya
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAl AhliMalkiya
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-42-01-3
Biggest losses2-33-01-22-0
Goals For3423
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricAl AhliMalkiya
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h64%36%
Goals54%46%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Ahli or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.05 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Al Ahli
vs
Malkiya
Premier League • Bahrain • Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 16:30 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
0.95
Al Ahli xG League Avg: 1.23
Total
1.92
0.97
Malkiya xG League Avg: 1.25
1x2 probabilities
Home
33.8%
Draw
31.6%
Away
34.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
14.6%
Tip
0 - 1
14.2%
Tip
1 - 0
14.0%
More chances
1.5+
62%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#AlAhli #Malkiya #PremierLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Al Ahli = 0.95 (league 1.24), Malkiya = 0.96 (league 1.26)

Malkiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahli 0 14.8% 14.3% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.5% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.6% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 34.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1