Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 23:30 •
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.22)
1.49 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 26.2% | 58.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.2%
0 - 2
13.5%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nashville SC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlanta United FC | 0 | 12.2% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 32% | 58% |
| Defense | 58% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Nashville SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 14% | 100% | 50% | 71% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 71% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
Form: Atlanta United FC: LLLWDLL • Nashville SC: WDWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Nashville SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlanta United FC | Nashville SC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 86% | 71% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 57% | 57% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 43% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Nashville SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nashville SC
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away2.23 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.91 @ SBO
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ 10Bet
No2.18 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Atlanta United FC
vs
Nashville SC
Expected goals
0.62
Atlanta United FC xG
League Avg: 1.22
Total
2.10
1.49
Nashville SC xG
League Avg: 0.97
1x2 probabilities
Home
15.3%
Draw
26.2%
Away
58.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
18.2%
Tip
0 - 2
13.5%
Tip
0 - 0
12.2%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Atlanta United FC = 0.62 (league 1.22), Nashville SC = 1.49 (league 0.97)
| Nashville SC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlanta United FC | 0 | 12.2% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 58.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1