Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio San Nicola
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.49)
1.92 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.9% | 21.3% | 62.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Venezia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bari | 0 | 6.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bari | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 73% | 73% |
| Defense | 18% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bari | Venezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 35% | 12% | 24% | 88% | 35% | 62% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 0% | 53% | 26% |
| Loses | 35% | 59% | 47% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
Form: Bari: LDLLDDWLWWDLLDDDLDLLWLLDLDWWLWLLWL • Venezia: WDDLWDWDLWLWWWDWWWWWWWWLWWDWWDWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Bari | Venezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 12 | 33 | 40 | 28 | 68 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 22 | 31 | 53 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bari | Venezia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 82% | 88% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 44% | 65% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 21% | 35% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bari | Venezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bari | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 9 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 9 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bari | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bari | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Venezia
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home7.00 @ 10Bet
Draw4.80 @ Dafabet
Away1.48 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bari = 0.81 (league 1.49), Venezia = 1.92 (league 1.08)
| Venezia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bari | 0 | 6.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.9% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 62.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1
