Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio La Independencia
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.12)
0.88 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 28.7% | 25.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Cali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chico | 0 | 11.6% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chico | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 12% | 29% |
| Defense | 47% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chico | Deportivo Cali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 43% | 0% | 20% | 44% | 29% | 38% |
| Draws | 14% | 13% | 13% | 44% | 14% | 31% |
| Loses | 43% | 88% | 67% | 11% | 57% | 31% |
Form: Chico: LLDLLWLLLWLDLWL • Deportivo Cali: LWLWDLWDDLWDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Chico | Deportivo Cali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 21 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chico | Deportivo Cali | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 87% | 69% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 40% | 31% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 27% | 13% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chico | Deportivo Cali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chico | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chico | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chico | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Cali and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.29 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chico = 1.28 (league 1.12), Deportivo Cali = 0.88 (league 0.80)
| Deportivo Cali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chico | 0 | 11.6% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 25.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
