Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 23:30 •
Estadio 15 de Abril
Expected Goals
3.00 (league 1.00)
0.21 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 83.4% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.2%
3 - 0
18.2%
4 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Newells Old Boys | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Santa Fe | 0 | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 18.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union Santa Fe | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 80% | 50% |
| Defense | 10% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union Santa Fe | Newells Old Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 50% | 29% | 38% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
| Draws | 50% | 14% | 31% | 43% | 17% | 31% |
| Loses | 0% | 57% | 31% | 43% | 67% | 54% |
Form: Union Santa Fe: DLWLDWWWDDLWL • Newells Old Boys: LDLLDLLLDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Union Santa Fe | Newells Old Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union Santa Fe | Newells Old Boys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 62% | 54% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 31% | 15% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 8% | 8% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union Santa Fe | Newells Old Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union Santa Fe | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union Santa Fe | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union Santa Fe | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
Advice: Winner : Union Santa Fe
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.71 @ Unibet
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away6.40 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.32 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Union Santa Fe = 3.00 (league 1.00), Newells Old Boys = 0.21 (league 0.77)
| Newells Old Boys | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Santa Fe | 0 | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 18.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 83.4% · Draw 7.0% · Away win 1.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
