Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 13:30 •
Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.47)
1.19 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.7% | 23.1% | 25.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HNK Gorica | 0 | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | HNK Gorica | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 69% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | HNK Gorica | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 20% | 28% | 47% | 7% | 28% |
| Draws | 21% | 33% | 28% | 27% | 43% | 34% |
| Loses | 43% | 47% | 45% | 27% | 50% | 38% |
Form: HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLLLWDWLLDLLWLDWLDDWDL • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWDLLDDDLLLWDWLWLDLLDW
League goals
| Metric | HNK Gorica | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 15 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 19 | 21 | 40 | 20 | 26 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | HNK Gorica | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 38% | 28% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 17% | 7% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | HNK Gorica | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | HNK Gorica | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | HNK Gorica | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | HNK Gorica | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.2% |
Advice: Double chance : HNK Gorica or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.26 @ Dafabet
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away3.17 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
HNK Gorica
vs
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Expected goals
1.81
HNK Gorica xG
League Avg: 1.47
Total
3.00
1.19
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
League Avg: 1.06
1x2 probabilities
Home
50.7%
Draw
23.1%
Away
25.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.7%
Tip
2 - 1
9.7%
Tip
1 - 0
9.0%
More chances
1.5+
79%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): HNK Gorica = 1.81 (league 1.47), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 1.19 (league 1.06)
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HNK Gorica | 0 | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 25.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1