Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:00 •
Stade de la Mosson
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.39)
1.02 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.1% | 23.7% | 22.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Grenoble | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montpellier | 0 | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montpellier | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 41% | 29% |
| Defense | 88% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montpellier | Grenoble | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 47% | 33% | 40% | 27% | 13% | 20% |
| Draws | 27% | 27% | 27% | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Loses | 27% | 40% | 33% | 13% | 53% | 33% |
Form: Montpellier: DWLDLWLWLWWDWWLLDLLWWLWLDWWDDD • Grenoble: LDLDWLLDWDLDWWLWDLLDWDDDDLDLDD
League goals
| Metric | Montpellier | Grenoble | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 11 | 35 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 17 | 10 | 27 | 13 | 23 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montpellier | Grenoble | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 63% | 63% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 20% | 23% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 7% | 7% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montpellier | Grenoble | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montpellier | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montpellier | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montpellier | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 62.5% | 37.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Montpellier or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.83 @ Unibet
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away4.80 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.87 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.01 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montpellier = 1.73 (league 1.39), Grenoble = 1.02 (league 1.18)
| Grenoble | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montpellier | 0 | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 22.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
