Bundesliga — Germany
Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:30 • Millerntor-Stadion
Not Started

FC St. Pauli

—

1. FC Köln

Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.62) 1.36 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.5% 27.0% 42.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
1. FC Köln
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 8.5% 11.5% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.4% 12.8% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.2% 7.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Köln
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack12%59%
Defense41%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC St. Pauli 1. FC Köln
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%13%21%33%14%24%
Draws29%20%24%27%36%31%
Loses43%67%55%40%50%45%

Form: FC St. Pauli: DWWLLLLLLLLLDWDLLDDLWLWWDLLDL • 1. FC Köln: WWDLLWDLWLLDDLLDLWLWLLDLLDDDW

League goals

Metric FC St. Pauli 1. FC Köln
HATHAT
GF total141125281543
GF avg1.00.70.91.91.11.5
GA total252550252550
GA avg1.81.71.71.71.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC St. Pauli1. FC Köln
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%83%86%90%
1.524%52%34%55%
2.53%24%21%24%
3.50%10%7%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Köln
HATHAT
Clean sheets235123
Failed to score6612134

Penalties

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Köln
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Köln
Wins22
Draws23
Losses92

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-10-1
Biggest losses0-54-01-33-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against5443

Model comparison

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Köln
Form25%75%
Att17%83%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h7%93%
Goals23%77%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or 1. FC Köln

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.39 @ 1xBet
Away3.15 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ 10Bet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

FC St. Pauli
vs
1. FC Köln
Bundesliga • Germany • Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:30 • Millerntor-Stadion
Expected goals
1.11
FC St. Pauli xG League Avg: 1.62
Total
2.47
1.36
1. FC Köln xG League Avg: 1.46
1x2 probabilities
Home
30.5%
Draw
27.0%
Away
42.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.8%
Tip
0 - 1
11.5%
Tip
1 - 0
9.4%
More chances
1.5+
82%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
#FcStPauli #1FcKöln #Bundesliga #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): FC St. Pauli = 1.11 (league 1.62), 1. FC Köln = 1.36 (league 1.46)

1. FC Köln
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 8.5% 11.5% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.4% 12.8% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.2% 7.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 42.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1