Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 19:45 •
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.45)
0.78 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.7% | 22.6% | 15.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| AVS | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rio Ave | 0 | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rio Ave | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Attack | 53% | 7% |
| Defense | 73% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rio Ave | AVS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 21% | 33% | 28% | 7% | 0% | 3% |
| Draws | 29% | 33% | 31% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 41% | 60% | 71% | 66% |
Form: Rio Ave: DDDLLDDWWLDDWLDLWLLLLLLDWWWLW • AVS: LLDLLLLLLDDLLLDLLLDLLWLDDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Rio Ave | AVS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 17 | 31 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 23 | 25 | 48 | 25 | 37 | 62 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rio Ave | AVS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 83% | 41% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 45% | 17% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 28% | 7% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rio Ave | AVS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rio Ave | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rio Ave | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rio Ave | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 89% | 11% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Rio Ave or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.74 @ Dafabet
Draw4.04 @ Pinnacle
Away5.09 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rio Ave = 1.80 (league 1.45), AVS = 0.78 (league 1.23)
| AVS | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rio Ave | 0 | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.7% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 15.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1
