Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria
Not Started

Jaguares

—

Deportivo Pasto

Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.12) 1.79 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 21.7% 36.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jaguares 0 2.6% 4.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.8% 8.6% 7.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.8% 5.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJaguaresDeportivo Pasto
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack24%35%
Defense59%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jaguares Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins50%0%25%67%43%56%
Draws13%13%13%22%29%25%
Loses38%88%63%11%29%19%

Form: Jaguares: WLDWLWLLLLLLDLWL • Deportivo Pasto: WWWLDWDDWWLWWLDW

League goals

Metric Jaguares Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
GF total1041413922
GF avg1.30.50.91.41.31.4
GA total9192861117
GA avg1.12.41.80.71.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJaguaresDeportivo Pasto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%81%56%
1.513%56%50%31%
2.56%25%6%13%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJaguaresDeportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Clean sheets303527
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricJaguaresDeportivo Pasto
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricJaguaresDeportivo Pasto
Wins13
Draws12
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses0-25-01-23-0
Goals For3132
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricJaguaresDeportivo Pasto
Form29%71%
Att40%60%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h38%62%
Goals25%75%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Pasto

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.13 @ BetVictor
Away2.48 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Unibet
No1.93 @ Betano
📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Jaguares vs Deportivo Pasto
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Jaguares
vs
Deportivo Pasto
Primera A • Colombia • Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria
Expected goals
1.86
Jaguares xG League Avg: 1.12
Total
3.66
1.79
Deportivo Pasto xG League Avg: 0.80
1x2 probabilities
Home
39.3%
Draw
21.7%
Away
36.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
8.6%
Tip
2 - 1
8.0%
Tip
1 - 2
7.7%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
#Jaguares #DeportivoPasto #PrimeraA #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Jaguares = 1.86 (league 1.12), Deportivo Pasto = 1.79 (league 0.80)

Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jaguares 0 2.6% 4.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.8% 8.6% 7.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.8% 5.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 36.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1