Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 19:00 •
Stamford Bridge
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.51)
1.62 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.7% | 23.8% | 40.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Manchester United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea | 0 | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 82% |
| Defense | 9% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| Wins | 38% | 44% | 41% | 67% | 31% | 48% |
| Draws | 31% | 25% | 28% | 20% | 44% | 32% |
| Loses | 31% | 31% | 31% | 13% | 25% | 19% |
Form: Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWDLDWDLDDLWWWWDDLWLLL • Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDLWDDDWWWWDWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 30 | 53 | 30 | 26 | 56 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 20 | 21 | 41 | 17 | 26 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelsea | Manchester United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 72% | 90% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 44% | 58% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 13% | 23% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester United
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Betfair
Away3.13 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.70 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Chelsea
vs
Manchester United
Expected goals
1.48
Chelsea xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
3.10
1.62
Manchester United xG
League Avg: 1.29
1x2 probabilities
Home
34.7%
Draw
23.8%
Away
40.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.8%
Tip
1 - 2
8.7%
Tip
2 - 1
8.0%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 1.48 (league 1.51), Manchester United = 1.62 (league 1.29)
| Manchester United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea | 0 | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 40.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1