Championship
— England
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 19:00 •
St. Mary's Stadium
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.36)
0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.8% | 27.3% | 18.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 0
12.1%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Blackburn | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton | 0 | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.1% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southampton | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 36% |
| Defense | 73% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southampton | Blackburn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| Wins | 55% | 38% | 46% | 19% | 38% | 29% |
| Draws | 30% | 29% | 29% | 38% | 19% | 29% |
| Loses | 15% | 33% | 24% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWWWDWWDWWWWW • Blackburn: LLWLWLLDLLWWWLWLDDDLWDDLDLLDLWLWWLLDLWDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Southampton | Blackburn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 39 | 70 | 18 | 20 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 35 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 50 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southampton | Blackburn | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 76% | 67% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 32% | 19% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 12% | 5% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southampton | Blackburn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southampton | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southampton | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southampton | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.63 @ 188Bet
Draw4.20 @ Betano
Away5.80 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.87 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 1.41 (league 1.36), Blackburn = 0.70 (league 1.14)
| Blackburn | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton | 0 | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.1% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 18.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
