Liga 3 — Georgia
Mon, Apr 20 2026 • 16:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished

Varketili

7 - 0

Iberia 2010

Expected Goals
4.85 (league 1.80) 0.38 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.6% 2.1% 0.5%
best score tips
4 - 0
12.3%
5 - 0
12.0%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Iberia 2010
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varketili 0 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.3% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.0% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Varketili carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 193 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Varketili +28.0, Iberia 2010 -41.8.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Varketili Elo 1616.5 · +28.0
vs
Iberia 2010 Elo 1458.2 · -41.8
Elo gapVarketili +193
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share75%
Combined Elo3074.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3074.7
Elo home share 75%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Varketili Iberia 2010
Overall Elo1616.51458.2
Form Elo1639.71418.8
Home / Away Elo1535.91483.6
Attack Elo1635.51463.9
Defense Elo16001446.8
Last 5 Elo change+28.0-41.8

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Varketili last-5 Elo change: +28.0; Iberia 2010 last-5 Elo change: -41.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVarketiliIberia 2010
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack53%16%
Defense84%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varketili Iberia 2010
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%20%67%0%40%
Loses0%0%0%33%100%60%
VarketiliWWWWD
Iberia 2010LDDLL

League goals

Metric Varketili Iberia 2010
HATHAT
GF total5510213
GF avg2.51.72.00.70.50.6
GA total2135712
GA avg1.00.30.61.73.52.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVarketiliIberia 2010
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%60%80%
1.560%0%0%60%
2.540%0%0%60%
3.50%0%0%40%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVarketiliIberia 2010
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricVarketiliIberia 2010
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVarketiliIberia 2010
Wins40
Draws02
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-3——
Biggest losses——1-44-0
Goals For3311
Goals Against1144

Model comparison

MetricVarketiliIberia 2010
Form87%13%
Att77%23%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total84.3%15.8%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Varketili vs Iberia 2010
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Varketili
vs
Iberia 2010
Liga 3 • Georgia • Mon, Apr 20 2026 • 16:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
4.85
Varketili xG League Avg: 1.80
Total
5.23
0.38
Iberia 2010 xG League Avg: 1.32
1x2 probabilities
Home
61.6%
Draw
2.1%
Away
0.5%
Best score tips
Tip
4 - 0
12.3%
Tip
5 - 0
12.0%
Tip
3 - 0
10.2%
More chances
1.5+
94%
Chance
2.5+
66%
Chance
3.5+
47%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
#Varketili #Iberia2010 #Liga3 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Varketili = 4.85 (league 1.80), Iberia 2010 = 0.38 (league 1.32)

Iberia 2010
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varketili 0 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.3% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.0% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.6% · Draw 2.1% · Away win 0.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1