2. Division
— Cyprus
Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 14:00 •
Ammochostos Stadium
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.47)
1.15 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5% | 20.5% | 19.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ahironas / Onisilos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AE Zakakiou | 0 | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
AE Zakakiou carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 133 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: AE Zakakiou -31.1, Ahironas / Onisilos -9.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
AE Zakakiou
vs
Ahironas / Onisilos
Elo gapAE Zakakiou +133
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo2704.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2704.2
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | AE Zakakiou | Ahironas / Onisilos |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1401.1 | 1303.1 |
| Form Elo | 1378.3 | 1293.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1499.6 | 1435.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1411.5 | 1344.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1379.2 | 1276 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -31.1 | -9.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. AE Zakakiou last-5 Elo change: -31.1; Ahironas / Onisilos last-5 Elo change: -9.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AE Zakakiou | Ahironas / Onisilos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 7% |
| Attack | 100% | 80% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AE Zakakiou | Ahironas / Onisilos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 15% | 21% | 19% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| Draws | 38% | 14% | 26% | 21% | 15% | 19% |
| Loses | 46% | 64% | 56% | 79% | 77% | 78% |
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League goals
| Metric | AE Zakakiou | Ahironas / Onisilos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 23 | 26 | 49 | 28 | 34 | 62 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AE Zakakiou | Ahironas / Onisilos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 81% | 48% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 52% | 11% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 30% | 0% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 19% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AE Zakakiou | Ahironas / Onisilos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | AE Zakakiou | Ahironas / Onisilos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | AE Zakakiou | Ahironas / Onisilos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AE Zakakiou | Ahironas / Onisilos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 63.3% | 36.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AE Zakakiou
vs
Ahironas / Onisilos
Expected goals
2.12
AE Zakakiou xG
League Avg: 1.47
Total
3.26
1.15
Ahironas / Onisilos xG
League Avg: 1.26
1x2 probabilities
Home
57.5%
Draw
20.5%
Away
19.8%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.8%
Tip
1 - 1
9.3%
Tip
2 - 0
8.6%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AE Zakakiou = 2.12 (league 1.47), Ahironas / Onisilos = 1.15 (league 1.26)
| Ahironas / Onisilos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AE Zakakiou | 0 | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 19.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1