EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:00 • The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 2.06) 1.68 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.2% 24.0% 58.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
0 - 2
12.0%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 8.5% 14.3% 12.0% 6.7% 2.8% 1.0%
1 6.7% 11.2% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.6% 4.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC WimbledonNorthampton
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack79%63%
Defense47%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 312 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Wimbledon Northampton
HATHAT
Played325415
Wins67%100%80%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%20%0%0%0%

Form: AFC Wimbledon: LWWWW • Northampton: WWWWW

League goals

Metric AFC Wimbledon Northampton
HATHAT
GF total871511112
GF avg2.73.53.02.81.02.4
GA total8210303
GA avg2.71.02.00.80.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC WimbledonNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%40%
1.580%40%80%20%
2.560%20%40%0%
3.540%20%20%0%
4.520%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC WimbledonNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAFC WimbledonNorthampton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAFC WimbledonNorthampton
Wins05
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-53-00-1
Biggest losses1-5———
Goals For4541
Goals Against5120

Model comparison

MetricAFC WimbledonNorthampton
Form44%56%
Att56%44%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%63%
Total42.2%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Northampton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Superbet
Away3.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AFC Wimbledon = 0.78 (league 2.06), Northampton = 1.68 (league 1.60)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 8.5% 14.3% 12.0% 6.7% 2.8% 1.0%
1 6.7% 11.2% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.6% 4.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.2% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 58.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1