EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:00 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.88 (league 2.06) 1.59 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.5% 11.1% 10.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.5%
4 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Stockport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.2% 5.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
3 4.1% 6.5% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
4 4.0% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
5 3.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValeStockport County
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack79%63%
Defense74%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 312 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

62%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Stockport County
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins67%100%80%100%50%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%20%0%50%20%

Form: Port Vale: WWLWW • Stockport County: WLWWW

League goals

Metric Port Vale Stockport County
HATHAT
GF total123159312
GF avg4.01.53.03.01.52.4
GA total505549
GA avg1.70.01.01.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValeStockport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%100%100%
1.580%20%80%40%
2.560%20%20%40%
3.540%20%20%0%
4.520%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValeStockport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPort ValeStockport County
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPort ValeStockport County
Wins21
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-25-31-2
Biggest losses3-4——3-1
Goals For5252
Goals Against4033

Model comparison

MetricPort ValeStockport County
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals25%75%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Port Vale and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 3.88 (league 2.06), Stockport County = 1.59 (league 1.60)

Stockport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.2% 5.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
3 4.1% 6.5% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
4 4.0% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
5 3.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 10.4%

vtt 5 , vtd1