Iraqi League — Iraq
Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 14:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.20) 1.20 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.6% 30.8% 50.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.8%
0 - 0
16.5%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Karma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newroz 0 16.5% 19.8% 11.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.9% 11.9% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewrozAl-Karma
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack43%57%
Defense71%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newroz Al-Karma
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins29%29%29%75%50%64%
Draws0%14%7%25%0%14%
Loses71%57%64%0%50%21%

Form: Newroz: WLLLLLLLDWWLWL • Al-Karma: WWDLWLWDWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Newroz Al-Karma
HATHAT
GF total681413619
GF avg0.91.11.01.61.01.4
GA total91322257
GA avg1.31.91.60.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewrozAl-Karma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%79%71%43%
1.529%50%43%7%
2.514%21%14%0%
3.50%7%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewrozAl-Karma
HATHAT
Clean sheets123628
Failed to score426224

Penalties

MetricNewrozAl-Karma
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricNewrozAl-Karma
Wins22
Draws11
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-0—2-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricNewrozAl-Karma
Form43%57%
Att43%57%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total40.8%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Karma

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.64 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away2.18 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newroz = 0.60 (league 1.20), Al-Karma = 1.20 (league 1.08)

Al-Karma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newroz 0 16.5% 19.8% 11.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.9% 11.9% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.6% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 50.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1