Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio Regional de Chinquihue
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.27)
1.11 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.7% | 31.3% | 42.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Recoleta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| D. Puerto Montt | 0 | 15.0% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | D. Puerto Montt | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 92% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-8
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | D. Puerto Montt | Recoleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
D. Puerto MonttWW
RecoletaWW
League goals
| Metric | D. Puerto Montt | Recoleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | D. Puerto Montt | Recoleta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | D. Puerto Montt | Recoleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | D. Puerto Montt | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | D. Puerto Montt | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | D. Puerto Montt | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 88% | 13% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.15 @ Betano
Draw3.15 @ Betano
Away3.89 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): D. Puerto Montt = 0.79 (league 1.27), Recoleta = 1.11 (league 0.90)
| Recoleta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| D. Puerto Montt | 0 | 15.0% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 42.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
