Wed, Apr 22 2026 ā¢ 18:00 ā¢
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.45)
0.67 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.7% | 29.9% | 20.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Alianza Atletico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Comerciantes Unidos | 0 | 14.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 38% | 33% |
| Defense | 62% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 40% | 40% | 40% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 17% | 50% | 30% |
Form: Comerciantes Unidos: WLDLWLWDDD ā¢ Alianza Atletico: WLDDDLWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 80% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 50% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 3-4 | 3-0 | ā |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Comerciantes Unidos or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.41 @ Dafabet
Draw3.15 @ 10Bet
Away3.35 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Comerciantes Unidos
vs
Alianza Atletico
Expected goals
1.24
Comerciantes Unidos xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
1.91
0.67
Alianza Atletico xG
League Avg: 0.95
1x2 probabilities
Home
49.7%
Draw
29.9%
Away
20.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
18.3%
Tip
0 - 0
14.8%
Tip
1 - 1
12.3%
More chances
1.5+
65%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
šØ Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (Ī»): Comerciantes Unidos = 1.24 (league 1.46), Alianza Atletico = 0.67 (league 0.95)
| Alianza Atletico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Comerciantes Unidos | 0 | 14.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% Ā· Draw 30.0% Ā· Away win 20.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1