Sun, Apr 19 2026 ā¢ 01:00 ā¢
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.46)
0.63 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.4% | 24.0% | 13.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Cusco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alianza Lima | 0 | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
š®
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alianza Lima | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 41% | 47% |
| Defense | 82% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alianza Lima | Cusco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 70% | 50% | 40% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 10% | 25% | 60% | 44% |
Form: Alianza Lima: WWDWWWDWLW ā¢ Cusco: LDLWLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Alianza Lima | Cusco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alianza Lima | Cusco | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 50% | 78% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 0% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alianza Lima | Cusco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alianza Lima | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alianza Lima | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | ā | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alianza Lima | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw
šø
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.48 @ Dafabet
Draw4.80 @ Betano
Away9.30 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.18 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ Unibet
š
League standings
Loading standingsā¦
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Alianza Lima
vs
Cusco
Expected goals
1.65
Alianza Lima xG
League Avg: 1.46
Total
2.28
0.63
Cusco xG
League Avg: 0.95
1x2 probabilities
Home
61.4%
Draw
24.0%
Away
13.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.9%
Tip
2 - 0
13.9%
Tip
1 - 1
10.6%
More chances
1.5+
65%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
šØ Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (Ī»): Alianza Lima = 1.65 (league 1.46), Cusco = 0.63 (league 0.95)
| Cusco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alianza Lima | 0 | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.4% Ā· Draw 24.0% Ā· Away win 13.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1