Meistriliiga
— Estonia
Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 15:45 •
Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Expected Goals
3.68 (league 1.79)
0.99 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
best score tips
3 - 0
7.8%
3 - 1
7.7%
4 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Vaprus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kuressaare | 0 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kuressaare | Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 55% | 18% |
| Defense | 9% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kuressaare | Vaprus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 33% | 75% | 57% | 33% | 100% | 71% |
Form: Kuressaare: LWLLLWW • Vaprus: WLLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Kuressaare | Vaprus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kuressaare | Vaprus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 100% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 71% | 14% | 86% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kuressaare | Vaprus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kuressaare | Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kuressaare | Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kuressaare | Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 37% | 63% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Advice: Winner : Kuressaare
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.85 @ Dafabet
Draw3.60 @ Dafabet
Away2.28 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.56 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.17 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.47 @ Unibet
No2.40 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Kuressaare
vs
Vaprus
Expected goals
3.68
Kuressaare xG
League Avg: 1.79
Total
4.67
0.99
Vaprus xG
League Avg: 1.38
1x2 probabilities
Home
68.5%
Draw
9.0%
Away
5.7%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
7.8%
Tip
3 - 1
7.7%
Tip
4 - 0
7.2%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
72%
Chance
3.5+
51%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Kuressaare = 3.68 (league 1.79), Vaprus = 0.99 (league 1.38)
| Vaprus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kuressaare | 0 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.5% · Draw 9.0% · Away win 5.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1