Super League
— Kenya
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.13)
0.26 (league 0.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.6% | 38.4% | 10.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.7%
1 - 0
28.4%
2 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Luanda Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kisumu All Stars | 0 | 30.7% | 7.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.4% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Kisumu All Stars carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 24 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kisumu All Stars +8.2, Luanda Villa -2.2.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Kisumu All Stars
vs
Luanda Villa
Elo gapKisumu All Stars +24
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2920.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2920.2
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1454.5 | 1465.7 |
| Form Elo | 1453.1 | 1459.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.1 | 1451.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1375.8 | 1354.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1516.5 | 1592.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.2 | -2.2 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Kisumu All Stars last-5 Elo change: +8.2; Luanda Villa last-5 Elo change: -2.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 0% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 7% | 24% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Draws | 29% | 33% | 31% | 47% | 7% | 28% |
| Loses | 29% | 60% | 45% | 27% | 71% | 48% |
Kisumu All StarsLLDDLLWLLWDLWDLWDWDLLLLWDDLWD
Luanda VillaDLLWLLWLLWWDWDWLLLDLLLWLDLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 26 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 34% | 17% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 3% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Kisumu All Stars
vs
Luanda Villa
Expected goals
0.93
Kisumu All Stars xG
League Avg: 1.13
Total
1.18
0.26
Luanda Villa xG
League Avg: 0.71
1x2 probabilities
Home
51.6%
Draw
38.4%
Away
10.0%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
30.7%
Tip
1 - 0
28.4%
Tip
2 - 0
13.2%
More chances
1.5+
48%
Chance
2.5+
34%
Chance
3.5+
24%
Chance
BTTS
47%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Kisumu All Stars = 0.93 (league 1.13), Luanda Villa = 0.26 (league 0.71)
| Luanda Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kisumu All Stars | 0 | 30.7% | 7.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.4% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 38.4% · Away win 10.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1